The most effective way to reduce risk in product development is to validate assumptions before significant investment is made in design, development, and launch activities. Many organisations traditionally wait until a product is built before measuring success, which can result in wasted resources if customer needs have been misunderstood. A more effective approach is to gather evidence early through customer research, product analytics, market analysis, and experimentation. By understanding both business goals and user expectations before development begins, teams can make informed decisions and focus their efforts on opportunities that are most likely to deliver value. This approach helps organisations minimise uncertainty, accelerate learning, and ensure resources are invested in solutions that address real customer needs and business objectives.
Removing risk from product development
Using Minimum Viable Data (MVD) and Minimum Viable Experiment (MVE)
As a data consultant, I’m often asked, “How do we measure success?” But, far too often, it’s asked at the point of product launch, which reveals that many product managers aren’t sure how customers will respond.
In this all-too-common scenario, data becomes a “prove me right” metric, surfaced only after all the money, time, and effort has been spent. It’s a high-risk, backwards approach to product launch.
Last year, we published thinking beyond minimum viable product, a reframing of MVP through a lens of intention and outcomes. Here we argued that MVP is too often treated as a finish line, when it should come after understanding. The article outlined how the Minimum Viable Outcome (MVO) is a balance of desired business and customer outcomes that the project needs to achieve to be deemed successful. And, most importantly, not forgetting this foundation when developing the MVP.
As a follow-up to support the MVO strategy, we’ve been exploring a deeper question: how do teams de-risk product development before committing to build?
Minimum Viable Data (MVD) asks:
What’s the minimum amount of data we need to evaluate our hypothesis, while understanding our business and customer needs?
A strong data strategy doesn't mean collecting all the data, it means identifying the right data. This could be quantitative (product analytics, usage data) or qualitative (user research, interviews, surveys) and should be derived from a mix of methods like UX testing, market sizing, or industry benchmarking.
The goal of MVD is to streamline your data inputs, so that you give real-world context to your problems. It helps you answer:
What do we need to know to move forward with confidence?
What evidence supports the MVO that we’re aiming for?
Where are our biggest unknowns, and how do we size them with data?
MVD is about creating decision confidence, not perfect knowledge. But to get there, data professionals need a seat at the strategy table. We need a be proactive partners in shaping product strategy from day one.
Minimum Viable Experiment (MVE) asks:
What’s the minimum experiment we need to run to validate core assumptions or reduce risk around our product, users, or market?
A strong experiment strategy doesn’t mean testing just for testing’s sake, it's about learning fast with minimal effort and cost. The aim is to generate just enough evidence, to either validate or adjust course, before heavy investment. MVE builds directly on your MVD: once you know the key data you need, you can design targeted experiments to collect it. This might be in the form of a fake door test, a concierge service, a landing page, or an A/B test. Opt for whichever method gives you fastest, low-cost insights.
The goal is simple: go to market with confidence, backed by validated assumptions, not just hope. You don’t need to "prove" success after launch if your MVE has already shown that there’s a strong signal before you build.
A real-world example
Imagine you're a global insurance company and, over decades, you've built best-in-class quote engines, servicing platforms and claims systems, each tailored to local market needs. But now this strength has become a weakness. Now you have multiple versions of the same business, operating across regions with zero shared architecture, strategy, or journey logic.
What’s the cost?
Endless data storage fees for duplicated systems
Specialist teams creating bottlenecks, not breakthroughs
New hires who take years to fully grasp how the systems work
Product teams maintaining fragmented platforms, instead of growing them
You're not innovating. You're firefighting. You're not improving journeys. You're patching them. So, leadership makes the call: it’s time to streamline, to rebuild smarter, to create seamless customer journeys and systems that support continuous evolution, not slow it down.
But the question is, where do you start?
If you follow the MVP route, your discovery often starts with questions like: “What do we have now?” or “How do we replicate these journeys everywhere as a catch-all?” But if you start with Minimum Viable Data (MVD), the first question is completely different: “Which journeys are actually working best for our customers right now?”
That shift matters, because one path is based on assumptions and the other is rooted in evidence. MVD gives you the insight you need, including:
Where customers are flowing smoothly
Where they’re dropping off
Which regions or journeys deliver value and which ones don’t
Then, you can apply MVE thinking: “What are the riskiest assumptions stopping us from scaling this?” You can break this down into steps, like in the example below:
1. Validate that what works in one region works elsewhere We did this for motor vehicle insurance journeys, using service design methods, by combining user intervention points and system processes for the current journeys. Then we validated that model in another market through interviews. This helped us quickly spot similarities, differences, and potential blockers before making any changes.
2. Test journey or UI changes before rollout We now had the evidence to say: “These journeys work for most; these would cause problems if rolled out globally.” We didn’t build a thing in this scenario, just prototyped and validated. No develop time wasted and clarity achieved.
3. Overlay with business data We then layered this with business metrics, for example, “How many policies were processed in each region?” This gave us a view of scale and impact.
In this example, while MVD and MVE reduced the risk of rollout, they also built the confidence to invest where it mattered most.
Defining your Minimum Viable Outcome (MVO) While one team experiments, project leads can work with stakeholders to define the business and customer outcomes beyond tech delivery. They can use what they've learned from MVD and MVE to shape an aligned, value-driven outcome, such as:
Reduce claims resolution time by 20%
Increase digital self-serve usage by 15%
Cut onboarding time for new markets by half
These metrics then become the North Star goal, so you're not just shipping a feature, but solving a problem.
And then you get more than just confidence in the solution:
You understand how each region really works
You surface unmet B2B needs
You can even turn this into onboarding material for new colleagues
Finally, it’s time to define the MVP and get to building. And you'll arrive at this phase knowing that there are no more questions or stones left unturned. Your teams will be more confident in the product they’re building and won’t waste time on endless iterations or pivots to the product plan.
Product Development - FAQs
Minimum Viable Data (MVD) is the practice of identifying and collecting only the most essential data required to evaluate a product hypothesis or strategic decision. Rather than gathering excessive amounts of information, teams focus on obtaining actionable insights that can guide decision-making. This data may come from customer interviews, usability testing, surveys, product analytics, competitive analysis, or market research. MVD helps product teams understand customer behaviours, identify risks, and determine whether an idea has sufficient evidence to justify further investment. By focusing on quality rather than quantity, organisations can reduce complexity, improve confidence in decision-making, and create a stronger foundation for product success.
A Minimum Viable Experiment (MVE) is a focused, low-cost experiment designed to test critical assumptions before large-scale development begins. Instead of building a fully functional product, teams can use techniques such as landing page tests, concierge services, fake-door experiments, prototypes, or A/B testing to measure demand and validate ideas. The goal is to learn as much as possible with minimal investment. MVEs enable organisations to quickly assess customer interest, identify potential challenges, and gather real-world evidence about product viability. This experimentation-led approach reduces the likelihood of expensive failures and creates opportunities to refine concepts before committing substantial resources.
Evidence-based product development allows organisations to make strategic decisions based on customer insights and measurable outcomes rather than assumptions or internal opinions. As markets become increasingly competitive and customer expectations continue to evolve, guessing what users want can be costly and ineffective. By relying on data, research, and experimentation, product teams can identify genuine customer problems, prioritise the most valuable opportunities, and validate solutions before launch. This approach improves product-market fit, reduces waste, increases stakeholder confidence, and significantly enhances the probability of delivering successful products and services.
Customer research plays a crucial role in reducing uncertainty throughout the product development lifecycle. By conducting interviews, surveys, usability testing, behavioural analysis, and ethnographic research, organisations can gain a deeper understanding of customer needs, pain points, expectations, and motivations. These insights help teams avoid making assumptions that may lead to poor product decisions. Research also enables businesses to identify unmet needs, validate hypotheses, and uncover opportunities for innovation. When customer perspectives are incorporated early in the process, products are more likely to resonate with target audiences and deliver meaningful value after launch.
Experimentation should be embedded throughout product development because it creates a continuous cycle of learning and improvement. Rather than treating testing as a final validation step, organisations can use experimentation to evaluate ideas, refine concepts, improve experiences, and optimise outcomes at every stage of the product lifecycle. Continuous experimentation helps teams identify risks earlier, understand customer preferences, and make better decisions based on evidence. It also fosters a culture of innovation by encouraging organisations to test new approaches, learn from failures quickly, and adapt with confidence. Ultimately, experimentation helps ensure products are built on proven insights rather than assumptions